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Red52
806928.2
517616.5
558311.7
Blue106
506017.9
711716.3
450060.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5911805010015020052106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+44
Endgame+54
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave6
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points24
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +26
6Coral scored#12
20Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
34Total teleop60
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#7
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points0
52Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8069
#20
28.20.3
28.728.4
Auto3.1
Teleop19.3
End5.8
blue by 31.8
60.00.9
56.557.4
Auto15.6
Teleop38.1
End6.3
Second
5176
#30
16.50.3
17.617.3
Auto4.1
Teleop12.0
End0.3
blue by 1.4
5060
#10
17.91.3
18.820.2
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End2.5
Third
5583
#43
11.70.3
8.88.5
Auto1.9
Teleop7.5
End2.3
blue by 4.6
7117
#22
16.31.3
16.818.2
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed41%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned