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Red64
117815.4
681716.2
749618.5
Blue56
306720.6
871910.5
51478.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52442060801006456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave0
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +2
11Coral scored#7
38Coral points26
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
46Total teleop44
Reef
3L4#3
5L3#2
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
64Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7496
#21
18.50.6
16.617.2
Auto3.5
Teleop12.2
End2.8
blue by 2.1
3067
#35
20.60.3
20.921.1
Auto2.8
Teleop16.0
End1.7
Second
6817
#26
16.20.6
12.413.0
Auto3.2
Teleop10.6
End2.4
red by 5.7
8719
#44
10.50.3
11.311.6
Auto1.7
Teleop7.2
End1.6
Third
1178
#42
15.40.6
13.714.3
Auto2.9
Teleop9.1
End3.4
red by 7.4
5147
#40
8.00.3
4.64.9
Auto2.1
Teleop4.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned9%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed