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Qual 652025 St. Louis Regional
Red58
176312.0
120817.7
593435.6
Blue64
1032213.4
55435.0
745216.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7570204060801001205864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+14
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +4
7Coral scored#8
24Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
38Total teleop42
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#13
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
58Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5934
#8
35.61.0
33.7→32.7
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End7.2
red by 0.6
554
#13
35.00.3
33.3→33.6
Auto7.8
Teleop21.2
End6.0
Second
1208
#25
17.71.0
22.8→21.7
Auto2.4
Teleop11.4
End4.0
red by 1.3
7452
#33
16.40.3
15.1→15.4
Auto2.2
Teleop13.5
End0.8
Third
1763
#41
12.00.7
12.0→11.3
Auto2.0
Teleop8.6
End1.5
blue by 1.4
10322
#23
13.40.3
12.4→12.7
Auto5.8
Teleop5.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed