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Red83
517616.5
506017.9
132928.0
Blue70
806928.2
24084.0
749618.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7554020401001201408370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+5Teleop
Endgame+9
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +2
9Coral scored#9
32Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
50Total teleop48
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
24Foul points2
83Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1329
#14
28.00.9
25.124.3
Auto6.5
Teleop19.1
End2.5
blue by 0.2
8069
#20
28.21.3
28.429.7
Auto3.1
Teleop19.3
End5.8
Second
5060
#10
17.90.9
20.219.3
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End2.5
blue by 0.7
7496
#21
18.51.3
17.218.5
Auto3.5
Teleop12.2
End2.8
Third
5176
#30
16.50.9
17.316.5
Auto4.1
Teleop12.0
End0.3
red by 12.5
2408
#45
4.01.3
2.74.0
Auto0.7
Teleop2.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsEarned