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Red41
747217.8
306720.6
711716.3
Blue81
250635.9
745216.4
176312.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706702040801001201401604181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+34
Endgame+34
Fouls+40
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +34
6Coral scored#15
21Coral points53
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
29Total teleop63
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points6
41Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3067
#35
20.61.9
21.119.3
Auto2.8
Teleop16.0
End1.7
blue by 15.4
2506
#24
35.91.0
34.235.2
Auto2.9
Teleop26.1
End7.0
Second
7472
#28
17.81.9
19.717.8
Auto4.8
Teleop12.3
End0.7
red by 1.4
7452
#33
16.41.0
15.416.4
Auto2.2
Teleop13.5
End0.8
Third
7117
#22
16.31.9
18.216.3
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End4.3
red by 4.2
1763
#41
12.00.8
11.312.0
Auto2.0
Teleop8.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned