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Red107
681716.2
96738.7
588916.6
Blue100
93119.4
807713.5
55435.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions787650607090100110107100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+5Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +12
12Coral scored#12
42Coral points42
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
12Processor points12
28Net points16
40Algae points28
82Total teleop70
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#5
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
107Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
967
#6
38.72.5
36.939.4
Auto5.1
Teleop26.0
End7.6
red by 3.7
554
#13
35.02.1
33.635.7
Auto7.8
Teleop21.2
End6.0
Second
5889
#36
16.62.5
14.116.6
Auto3.0
Teleop9.4
End4.1
blue by 2.9
931
#37
19.42.1
18.921.0
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End2.4
Third
6817
#26
16.22.5
13.015.5
Auto3.2
Teleop10.6
End2.4
red by 2.7
8077
#18
13.52.1
11.213.3
Auto2.9
Teleop7.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsEarned