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Red57
940139.5
120817.7
774715.0
Blue112
674419.7
339718.7
170668.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109135608010012016018020057112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+59
Endgame+63
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave3
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points23
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +42
5Coral scored#13
18Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
28Total teleop70
Reef
2L4#7
1L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +4
12Cage & park16
12Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
8Foul points0
57Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.54.0
42.238.2
Auto14.4
Teleop18.8
End6.3
blue by 29.4
68.90.4
65.665.2
Auto18.7
Teleop40.7
End9.5
Second
1208
#25
17.74.0
21.717.7
Auto2.4
Teleop11.4
End4.0
blue by 2.0
6744
#34
19.70.4
20.119.7
Auto3.4
Teleop14.6
End1.8
Third
7747
#39
15.04.0
19.115.0
Auto2.2
Teleop10.8
End2.0
blue by 3.7
18.70.4
19.519.1
Auto3.0
Teleop12.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed40%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
79%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsEarned