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Red68
639134.1
433019.6
128811.8
Blue83
558311.7
379234.9
51478.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions945701506883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+3
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +2
3Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points15
13Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +1
10Coral scored#11
35Coral points40
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
12Processor points0
4Net points12
16Algae points12
51Total teleop52
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
68Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.10.2
35.935.7
Auto6.3
Teleop25.9
End2.0
blue by 0.7
3792
#12
34.93.2
31.134.3
Auto8.1
Teleop21.7
End5.0
Second
4330
#27
19.60.2
20.019.8
Auto2.4
Teleop15.0
End2.3
red by 7.9
5583
#43
11.73.2
8.511.7
Auto1.9
Teleop7.5
End2.3
Third
1288
#38
11.80.2
12.111.8
Auto2.6
Teleop6.9
End2.4
red by 3.8
5147
#40
8.03.2
4.98.0
Auto2.1
Teleop4.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsEarned