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Red156
425641.0
1032213.4
2767.5
Blue54
1031720.2
871910.5
582223.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14057010020015654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+68Teleop
+78Endgame
+102Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave6
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points6
33Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +47
16Coral scored#7
59Coral points26
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
83Total teleop36
Reef
10L4#3
3L3#2
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#10
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +102
24Foul points0
156Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#1
67.50.5
64.064.5
Auto13.7
Teleop43.7
End10.1
red by 44.1
5822
#29
23.41.1
24.523.4
Auto5.1
Teleop16.1
End2.2
Second
41.00.7
41.842.5
Auto7.8
Teleop27.2
End5.9
red by 20.8
20.21.1
21.320.2
Auto5.7
Teleop11.4
End3.1
Third
13.40.7
12.713.4
Auto5.8
Teleop5.8
End1.8
red by 2.9
8719
#44
10.51.1
11.610.5
Auto1.7
Teleop7.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed