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Red126
681716.2
250635.9
593435.6
Blue98
177520.6
549226.5
379234.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9798809010011012012698

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+18Teleop
+30Endgame
+28Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points12
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +18
21Coral scored#14
74Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
88Total teleop70
Reef
9L4#5
7L3#4
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points2
126Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2506
#24
35.90.9
34.735.6
Auto2.9
Teleop26.1
End7.0
red by 1.1
3792
#12
34.90.1
34.834.9
Auto8.1
Teleop21.7
End5.0
Second
35.60.9
34.335.2
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End7.2
red by 9.1
5492
#16
26.50.1
26.526.5
Auto3.1
Teleop18.2
End5.2
Third
6817
#26
16.20.9
15.015.9
Auto3.2
Teleop10.6
End2.4
blue by 4.3
1775
#11
20.60.1
20.520.6
Auto3.1
Teleop14.8
End2.7