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Red110
55435.0
493118.4
96738.7
Blue99
639134.1
425641.0
93119.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110109809010012013014015011099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+1Teleop
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +9
13Coral scored#15
45Coral points54
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
65Total teleop74
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#3
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
110Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
967
#6
38.70.3
38.438.6
Auto5.1
Teleop26.0
End7.6
blue by 2.3
41.00.1
41.141.0
Auto7.8
Teleop27.2
End5.9
Second
554
#13
35.00.3
34.734.9
Auto7.8
Teleop21.2
End6.0
red by 0.9
34.10.1
34.234.1
Auto6.3
Teleop25.9
End2.0
Third
4931
#17
18.40.3
18.118.4
Auto2.5
Teleop8.5
End7.4
blue by 1.0
931
#37
19.40.1
19.519.4
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End2.4