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Red120
306720.6
450060.0
940139.5
Blue104
593435.6
250635.9
681716.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141834060100120160180200120104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+46Teleop
+28Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave6
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points6
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +28
18Coral scored#8
64Coral points30
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
78Total teleop50
Reef
10L4#4
6L3#2
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +16
6Foul points18
120Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.00.1
59.759.6
Auto15.6
Teleop38.1
End6.3
red by 24.1
2506
#24
35.90.1
34.734.7
Auto2.9
Teleop26.1
End7.0
Second
39.50.1
39.239.0
Auto14.4
Teleop18.8
End6.3
red by 3.9
35.60.1
34.334.3
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End7.2
Third
3067
#35
20.60.1
20.220.1
Auto2.8
Teleop16.0
End1.7
red by 4.3
6817
#26
16.20.1
14.915.0
Auto3.2
Teleop10.6
End2.4