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Red200
2767.5
170668.9
132928.0
Blue81
55435.0
493118.4
96738.7
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1831025015020025020081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+119Teleop
+119Endgame
+119Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave3
9Coral scored#3
44Coral points13
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +91
26Coral scored#6
94Coral points21
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
12Processor points6
24Net points12
36Algae points18
130Total teleop39
Reef
14L4#3
10L3#4
7L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
43Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +119
0Foul points0
200Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.91.0
66.267.2
Auto18.7
Teleop40.7
End9.5
red by 30.2
967
#6
38.70.5
38.838.4
Auto5.1
Teleop26.0
End7.6
Second
27
#1
67.50.8
65.366.2
Auto13.7
Teleop43.7
End10.1
red by 32.5
554
#13
35.00.5
35.234.7
Auto7.8
Teleop21.2
End6.0
Third
1329
#14
28.01.0
25.326.3
Auto6.5
Teleop19.1
End2.5
red by 9.6
4931
#17
18.40.5
18.618.1
Auto2.5
Teleop8.5
End7.4