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Red57
432931.6
806928.2
506017.9
Blue79
639134.1
425641.0
93119.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions911154060801001401601805779

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+18
Endgame+16
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave9
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points14
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +4
9Coral scored#9
34Coral points32
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#4
6Processor points0
4Net points16
10Algae points16
44Total teleop48
Reef
3L4#4
4L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points6
57Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4329
#31
31.60.6
32.331.6
Auto4.0
Teleop27.0
End0.7
blue by 9.3
41.00.6
41.741.1
Auto7.8
Teleop27.2
End5.9
Second
8069
#20
28.20.6
28.828.2
Auto3.1
Teleop19.3
End5.8
blue by 5.9
34.10.6
34.934.2
Auto6.3
Teleop25.9
End2.0
Third
5060
#10
17.90.6
18.517.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End2.5
blue by 1.6
931
#37
19.40.6
20.219.5
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End2.4