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Red131
177520.6
549226.5
379234.9
Blue89
942824.4
807713.5
433019.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97682040608012014016013189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+30Teleop
+44Endgame
+42Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +30
19Coral scored#17
70Coral points62
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
12Processor points6
24Net points8
36Algae points14
106Total teleop76
Reef
5L4#7
5L3#5
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#21
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points2
131Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3792
#12
34.90.7
34.134.8
Auto8.1
Teleop21.7
End5.0
red by 10.5
9428
#32
24.40.3
24.124.4
Auto4.8
Teleop17.3
End2.2
Second
5492
#16
26.50.7
25.726.5
Auto3.1
Teleop18.2
End5.2
red by 6.9
4330
#27
19.60.3
19.419.6
Auto2.4
Teleop15.0
End2.3
Third
1775
#11
20.60.7
19.720.5
Auto3.1
Teleop14.8
End2.7
red by 7.0
8077
#18
13.50.3
13.313.5
Auto2.9
Teleop7.6
End3.0