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Red72
639134.1
425641.0
93119.4
Blue78
593435.6
250635.9
681716.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116894060801001401601807278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+14Teleop
+4Endgame
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +17
11Coral scored#8
41Coral points30
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
55Total teleop38
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#3
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +6
2Foul points12
72Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.00.8
42.541.7
Auto7.8
Teleop27.2
End5.9
red by 5.0
2506
#24
35.90.5
35.234.7
Auto2.9
Teleop26.1
End7.0
Second
34.10.8
35.734.9
Auto6.3
Teleop25.9
End2.0
blue by 1.4
35.60.5
34.834.3
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End7.2
Third
931
#37
19.40.8
21.020.2
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End2.4
red by 3.2
6817
#26
16.20.5
15.514.9
Auto3.2
Teleop10.6
End2.4