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Qual 12025 FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship
Red124
7550.1
83462.6
941624.8
Blue169
518156.0
260781.4
437346.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13415980100120180200220240124169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+35
Endgame+45
Fouls+45
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points21
33Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +38
16Coral scored#28
57Coral points99
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
18Processor points6
12Net points20
30Algae points26
87Total teleop125
Reef
6L4#10
5L3#10
5L2#9
5L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points0
124Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#9
62.60.5
55.8→55.3
Auto14.6
Teleop38.6
End9.4
blue by 18.8
2607
#2
81.41.5
65.4→66.9
Auto19.2
Teleop50.4
End11.7
Second
75
#55
50.10.5
47.3→46.7
Auto13.7
Teleop30.7
End5.7
blue by 5.9
5181
#8
56.01.5
37.8→39.3
Auto9.0
Teleop42.4
End4.6
Third
9416
#60
24.80.5
23.1→22.6
Auto6.1
Teleop16.5
End2.2
blue by 22.1
4373
#18
46.91.5
38.3→39.8
Auto11.4
Teleop30.1
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed54%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsMissed84%Barge oddsEarned