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Red168
192364.5
108951.3
909459.8
Blue181
27249.1
363751.3
253970.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15716050100200250300350168181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+9Teleop
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave3
10Coral scored#6
51Coral points31
51Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +8
18Coral scored#27
63Coral points97
3Processor algae#2
8Net algae#3
18Processor points12
32Net points12
50Algae points24
113Total teleop121
Reef
15L4#13
6L3#9
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#6
39Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
168Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.50.2
57.157.3
Auto20.8
Teleop42.0
End1.6
blue by 5.8
2539
#10
70.31.1
69.370.4
Auto16.2
Teleop45.2
End8.9
Second
9094
#30
59.80.2
47.848.1
Auto14.1
Teleop37.7
End8.0
red by 8.5
3637
#33
51.31.1
40.141.2
Auto11.0
Teleop32.0
End8.3
Third
1089
#58
51.30.2
48.348.5
Auto15.5
Teleop33.3
End2.5
red by 2.2
272
#14
49.11.1
44.345.4
Auto6.8
Teleop31.1
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
28%Coral oddsEarned39%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed98%Barge oddsEarned