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Red143
253970.3
272241.0
249532.5
Blue141
116848.9
31658.0
941624.8
71%Model gave it29%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16914450100200250143141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
0Teleop0
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave3
8Coral scored#5
38Coral points23
44Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +18
17Coral scored#19
61Coral points69
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
12Processor points18
20Net points24
32Algae points42
93Total teleop111
Reef
9L4#7
7L3#8
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
32Game pieces#33
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
143Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2539
#10
70.31.0
69.668.6
Auto16.2
Teleop45.2
End8.9
red by 12.3
316
#20
58.00.2
55.055.2
Auto15.3
Teleop39.6
End3.0
Second
2722
#44
41.01.0
41.440.4
Auto12.2
Teleop29.2
End-0.4
blue by 8.0
1168
#50
48.90.2
47.948.1
Auto11.9
Teleop28.1
End8.9
Third
2495
#56
32.51.0
36.135.0
Auto6.2
Teleop24.1
End2.2
red by 7.7
9416
#60
24.80.2
24.324.4
Auto6.1
Teleop16.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
83%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsMissed