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Red197
48460.4
180759.1
70854.9
Blue110
1015722.5
680833.2
10364.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19012850100150250300197110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+63Teleop
+85Endgame
+87Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
3Leave0
9Coral scored#3
44Coral points15
47Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +31
16Coral scored#16
58Coral points59
6Processor algae#4
7Net algae#2
36Processor points24
28Net points8
64Algae points32
122Total teleop91
Reef
9L4#5
8L3#7
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
38Game pieces#25
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +87
2Foul points0
197Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
#22
60.41.1
56.757.8
Auto16.0
Teleop37.9
End6.6
blue by 4.1
103
#13
64.51.5
62.761.2
Auto8.7
Teleop50.4
End5.4
Second
1807
#39
59.11.1
57.358.4
Auto10.6
Teleop42.6
End5.9
red by 25.9
6808
#59
33.21.5
34.132.7
Auto6.1
Teleop24.3
End2.9
Third
708
#23
54.91.1
53.254.3
Auto11.3
Teleop35.7
End7.8
red by 32.4
22.51.5
23.822.4
Auto5.9
Teleop12.0
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
73%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsMissed