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Red167
434249.5
192364.5
19339.8
Blue224
1159.8
140349.3
851364.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16117750100200250300167224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+39
Endgame+57
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave9
7Coral scored#10
35Coral points49
44Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +25
18Coral scored#28
63Coral points102
4Processor algae#3
7Net algae#5
24Processor points18
28Net points20
52Algae points38
115Total teleop140
Reef
6L4#19
9L3#6
7L2#9
3L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +18
8Cage & park26
8Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points0
167Total score224

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.50.4
62.362.7
Auto20.8
Teleop42.0
End1.6
blue by 0.1
64.63.6
61.565.1
Auto20.5
Teleop35.6
End8.5
Second
4342
#36
49.50.4
49.750.2
Auto7.8
Teleop36.1
End5.5
blue by 10.3
11
#26
59.83.6
52.255.7
Auto11.6
Teleop40.2
End8.0
Third
193
#48
39.80.4
37.137.5
Auto7.9
Teleop27.0
End4.8
blue by 9.5
1403
#29
49.33.6
45.649.1
Auto14.1
Teleop29.1
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
49%Coral oddsEarned22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsEarned