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Red136
941624.8
5638.1
139162.3
Blue180
599241.4
259055.5
314260.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134171100150200250136180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+34
Endgame+44
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave0
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points37
26Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +23
18Coral scored#25
64Coral points91
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
96Total teleop119
Reef
7L4#13
7L3#8
4L2#7
3L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points0
136Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
#19
62.30.4
61.862.2
Auto12.8
Teleop40.9
End8.7
red by 2.1
3142
#24
60.31.4
59.260.5
Auto13.2
Teleop38.3
End8.7
Second
56
#51
38.10.4
37.738.1
Auto6.6
Teleop30.1
End1.3
blue by 17.4
2590
#27
55.51.4
55.156.4
Auto11.6
Teleop35.5
End8.4
Third
9416
#60
24.80.4
24.424.8
Auto6.1
Teleop16.5
End2.2
blue by 16.6
5992
#40
41.41.4
40.141.4
Auto6.6
Teleop34.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed57%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned