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Red176
22250.5
2537.9
909459.8
Blue142
680833.2
70854.9
272241.0
66%Model gave it34%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16214550100200250176142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+22Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points17
19Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +29
29Coral scored#22
105Coral points78
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
6Processor points12
20Net points12
26Algae points24
131Total teleop102
Reef
10L4#9
7L3#7
10L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
38Game pieces#30
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
176Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9094
#30
59.82.0
56.758.6
Auto14.1
Teleop37.7
End8.0
red by 4.9
708
#23
54.90.6
54.354.9
Auto11.3
Teleop35.7
End7.8
Second
222
#42
50.52.0
48.650.5
Auto6.3
Teleop36.9
End7.4
red by 9.6
2722
#44
41.00.6
40.441.0
Auto12.2
Teleop29.2
End-0.4
Third
25
#41
37.92.0
35.937.9
Auto5.8
Teleop29.4
End2.6
red by 4.6
6808
#59
33.20.6
32.733.2
Auto6.1
Teleop24.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
52%Coral oddsMissed67%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsEarned