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Red142
108951.3
180759.1
272035.3
Blue153
741447.4
116848.9
437346.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155156120130140150170180190200142153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+11Teleop
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
7Coral scored#7
34Coral points37
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +11
14Coral scored#18
51Coral points66
5Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
30Processor points12
20Net points12
50Algae points24
101Total teleop90
Reef
6L4#7
6L3#8
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
142Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1807
#39
59.10.1
58.458.3
Auto10.6
Teleop42.6
End5.9
red by 10.2
1168
#50
48.90.8
48.148.9
Auto11.9
Teleop28.1
End8.9
Second
1089
#58
51.30.1
50.350.1
Auto15.5
Teleop33.3
End2.5
red by 3.9
7414
#28
47.40.8
46.547.4
Auto9.1
Teleop32.3
End6.0
Third
2720
#57
35.30.1
35.535.3
Auto7.1
Teleop21.8
End6.4
blue by 11.6
4373
#18
46.90.8
46.146.9
Auto11.4
Teleop30.1
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
63%Coral oddsMissed42%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsMissed87%Barge oddsEarned