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Red166
27249.1
181145.2
32147.9
Blue174
245824.8
518156.0
253970.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155169100200250166174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+16
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
4Coral scored#6
21Coral points30
27Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +13
23Coral scored#24
81Coral points88
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
18Processor points12
16Net points28
34Algae points40
115Total teleop128
Reef
10L4#8
8L3#9
6L2#8
3L1 · trough#5
34Game pieces#39
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
166Total score174

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#14
49.11.0
48.749.7
Auto6.8
Teleop31.1
End11.2
blue by 21.2
2539
#10
70.31.1
68.669.7
Auto16.2
Teleop45.2
End8.9
Second
321
#38
47.91.0
46.947.9
Auto15.9
Teleop26.7
End5.3
blue by 8.1
56.01.1
54.055.1
Auto9.0
Teleop42.4
End4.6
Third
1811
#32
45.21.0
44.345.2
Auto7.6
Teleop34.7
End3.0
red by 20.4
2458
#49
24.81.1
23.724.8
Auto4.9
Teleop16.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned76%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned