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Red204
589584.9
22348.4
7550.1
Blue216
363751.3
10364.5
31658.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions201178100150250300204216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+4
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
7Coral scored#8
37Coral points38
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +3
19Coral scored#23
69Coral points84
6Processor algae#5
10Net algae#7
36Processor points30
40Net points28
76Algae points58
145Total teleop142
Reef
11L4#12
4L3#7
6L2#7
5L1 · trough#5
42Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
6Foul points6
204Total score216

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.90.3
84.985.1
Auto25.3
Teleop51.0
End8.6
red by 20.3
103
#13
64.52.2
61.263.4
Auto8.7
Teleop50.4
End5.4
Second
75
#55
50.10.3
49.850.1
Auto13.7
Teleop30.7
End5.7
blue by 7.9
316
#20
58.02.2
55.257.4
Auto15.3
Teleop39.6
End3.0
Third
223
#52
48.40.3
48.148.4
Auto8.5
Teleop37.2
End2.7
blue by 2.9
3637
#33
51.32.2
49.051.3
Auto11.0
Teleop32.0
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
44%Coral oddsEarned41%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned