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Red210
171245.7
167659.6
1159.8
Blue224
260781.4
568434.2
48460.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions195194160180200220240210224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+4
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave6
5Coral scored#10
24Coral points48
30Total auto54
TeleoperatedRed +20
33Coral scored#22
118Coral points78
2Processor algae#4
6Net algae#8
12Processor points24
24Net points32
36Algae points56
154Total teleop134
Reef
12L4#9
8L3#10
10L2#7
8L1 · trough#6
46Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
210Total score224

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#26
59.82.1
55.757.8
Auto11.6
Teleop40.2
End8.0
blue by 21.6
81.42.6
76.879.4
Auto19.2
Teleop50.4
End11.7
Second
1676
#16
59.62.1
58.160.2
Auto14.6
Teleop37.0
End8.0
blue by 0.8
484
#22
60.42.6
57.860.4
Auto16.0
Teleop37.9
End6.6
Third
1712
#31
45.72.1
43.645.7
Auto7.1
Teleop31.3
End7.4
red by 11.6
5684
#35
34.22.6
31.534.2
Auto8.4
Teleop17.1
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
47%Coral oddsMissed39%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned