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Red240
34180.3
851364.6
331480.3
Blue185
19339.8
55552.4
540155.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24513950100200300350240185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+49Teleop
+55Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave6
7Coral scored#5
36Coral points24
36Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +43
33Coral scored#23
120Coral points81
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#8
24Processor points12
24Net points32
48Algae points44
168Total teleop125
Reef
13L4#14
10L3#7
12L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
50Game pieces#38
BargeRed +6
36Cage & park30
36Total endgame30
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points0
240Total score185

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#1
80.30.4
80.280.6
Auto13.6
Teleop56.9
End9.8
red by 24.9
5401
#25
55.42.3
52.354.5
Auto7.7
Teleop41.7
End6.0
Second
3314
#15
80.30.4
77.978.3
Auto19.8
Teleop47.9
End12.6
red by 27.9
555
#21
52.42.3
50.152.4
Auto13.2
Teleop31.5
End7.7
Third
64.60.4
65.165.5
Auto20.5
Teleop35.6
End8.5
red by 24.8
193
#48
39.82.3
37.539.8
Auto7.9
Teleop27.0
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
88%Coral oddsEarned28%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned