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Red215
331480.3
540155.4
253970.3
Blue223
260781.4
909459.8
83462.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187171140160180200220240260215223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+2Teleop
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
8Coral scored#9
38Coral points45
44Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +9
31Coral scored#25
113Coral points90
2Processor algae#5
5Net algae#4
12Processor points30
20Net points16
32Algae points46
145Total teleop136
Reef
11L4#12
15L3#8
6L2#6
7L1 · trough#8
46Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
215Total score223

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
#15
80.32.4
71.674.0
Auto19.8
Teleop47.9
End12.6
blue by 1.1
81.43.5
66.970.4
Auto19.2
Teleop50.4
End11.7
Second
2539
#10
70.32.4
70.472.8
Auto16.2
Teleop45.2
End8.9
red by 7.7
834
#9
62.63.5
55.358.8
Auto14.6
Teleop38.6
End9.4
Third
5401
#25
55.42.4
37.740.0
Auto7.7
Teleop41.7
End6.0
blue by 4.4
9094
#30
59.83.5
48.151.6
Auto14.1
Teleop37.7
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
72%Coral oddsEarned33%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned