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Red162
125754.9
437346.9
192364.5
Blue153
704529.2
48460.4
7550.1
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15212580100140160180200220240162153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+1Teleop
+11Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave0
5Coral scored#4
26Coral points22
26Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +3
24Coral scored#24
86Coral points85
2Processor algae#4
6Net algae#4
12Processor points24
24Net points16
36Algae points40
122Total teleop125
Reef
9L4#9
6L3#11
8L2#5
6L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#36
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points2
162Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.50.7
57.356.6
Auto20.8
Teleop42.0
End1.6
red by 4.0
484
#22
60.40.1
48.448.5
Auto16.0
Teleop37.9
End6.6
Second
1257
#12
54.90.7
43.042.3
Auto11.2
Teleop39.3
End4.4
red by 4.8
75
#55
50.10.1
46.746.8
Auto13.7
Teleop30.7
End5.7
Third
4373
#18
46.90.7
39.839.1
Auto11.4
Teleop30.1
End5.5
red by 17.7
7045
#37
29.20.1
25.926.0
Auto6.5
Teleop18.3
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
58%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsMissed