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Qual 102025 FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship
Red118
901556.9
55552.4
568434.2
Blue149
121865.9
10364.5
259055.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11118050100150200250118149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+45
Endgame+37
Fouls+31
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave9
7Coral scored#4
33Coral points18
33Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +51
11Coral scored#14
41Coral points50
1Processor algae#4
2Net algae#8
6Processor points24
8Net points32
14Algae points56
55Total teleop106
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#4
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#30
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
6Foul points0
118Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9015
#34
56.90.2
50.3→50.1
Auto12.7
Teleop39.2
End5.0
blue by 9.0
1218
#6
65.91.2
55.4→54.2
Auto19.7
Teleop37.1
End9.1
Second
555
#21
52.40.2
39.1→38.8
Auto13.2
Teleop31.5
End7.7
blue by 12.2
103
#13
64.51.2
56.9→55.7
Auto8.7
Teleop50.4
End5.4
Third
5684
#35
34.20.2
23.4→23.2
Auto8.4
Teleop17.1
End8.6
blue by 21.3
2590
#27
55.51.2
52.2→51.0
Auto11.6
Teleop35.5
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned