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Red144
22250.5
272035.3
272241.0
Blue205
851364.6
255446.8
139162.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12115550100200250144205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+41
Endgame+61
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave3
5Coral scored#10
27Coral points48
30Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +20
20Coral scored#27
72Coral points96
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#7
18Processor points6
20Net points28
38Algae points34
110Total teleop130
Reef
7L4#9
8L3#13
6L2#9
4L1 · trough#6
33Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points0
144Total score205

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#42
50.50.9
47.748.6
Auto6.3
Teleop36.9
End7.4
blue by 14.0
64.63.3
56.960.1
Auto20.5
Teleop35.6
End8.5
Second
2722
#44
41.00.9
37.037.9
Auto12.2
Teleop29.2
End-0.4
blue by 21.4
1391
#19
62.33.3
53.556.7
Auto12.8
Teleop40.9
End8.7
Third
2720
#57
35.30.9
35.136.0
Auto7.1
Teleop21.8
End6.4
blue by 11.5
2554
#17
46.83.3
34.037.3
Auto13.2
Teleop30.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned21%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned