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Red130
255446.8
140349.3
704529.2
Blue101
436126.2
83462.6
249532.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14214580100120160180200220240130101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+35Teleop
+35Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave3
8Coral scored#6
41Coral points30
44Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +24
10Coral scored#9
36Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
12Processor points6
24Net points8
36Algae points14
72Total teleop48
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#5
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points6
130Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1403
#29
49.30.1
49.149.3
Auto14.1
Teleop29.1
End6.0
blue by 13.3
834
#9
62.62.5
66.063.5
Auto14.6
Teleop38.6
End9.4
Second
2554
#17
46.80.1
46.746.8
Auto13.2
Teleop30.9
End2.8
red by 14.3
2495
#56
32.52.5
35.032.5
Auto6.2
Teleop24.1
End2.2
Third
7045
#37
29.20.1
29.129.2
Auto6.5
Teleop18.3
End4.4
red by 3.0
4361
#54
26.22.5
28.726.2
Auto7.1
Teleop11.0
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned