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Red195
589584.9
314260.3
34180.3
Blue119
167659.6
27249.1
164052.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions249168100150200300195119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+50Teleop
+70Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
9Leave9
10Coral scored#3
49Coral points17
58Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +18
23Coral scored#16
81Coral points59
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
105Total teleop87
Reef
8L4#5
9L3#6
8L2#4
8L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#25
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +76
6Foul points0
195Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.90.8
85.184.3
Auto25.3
Teleop51.0
End8.6
red by 25.3
1676
#16
59.61.0
60.259.2
Auto14.6
Teleop37.0
End8.0
Second
341
#1
80.30.8
80.679.7
Auto13.6
Teleop56.9
End9.8
red by 27.8
1640
#11
52.51.0
53.152.1
Auto11.8
Teleop33.8
End6.9
Third
3142
#24
60.30.8
60.559.7
Auto13.2
Teleop38.3
End8.7
red by 11.2
272
#14
49.11.0
49.748.7
Auto6.8
Teleop31.1
End11.2