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Red234
1159.8
34180.3
2537.9
Blue144
941624.8
249532.5
465338.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1698950100150200250234144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+88Teleop
+90Endgame
+90Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave3
9Coral scored#5
47Coral points23
47Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +67
35Coral scored#20
125Coral points72
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#5
18Processor points12
28Net points20
46Algae points32
171Total teleop104
Reef
14L4#9
14L3#9
10L2#5
6L1 · trough#2
54Game pieces#32
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +90
0Foul points0
234Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#1
80.33.7
66.870.5
Auto13.6
Teleop56.9
End9.8
red by 41.9
4653
#53
38.41.3
35.036.2
Auto11.6
Teleop18.6
End8.2
Second
11
#26
59.83.7
46.850.5
Auto11.6
Teleop40.2
End8.0
red by 27.2
2495
#56
32.51.3
31.332.6
Auto6.2
Teleop24.1
End2.2
Third
25
#41
37.93.7
29.933.6
Auto5.8
Teleop29.4
End2.6
red by 13.0
9416
#60
24.81.3
22.623.9
Auto6.1
Teleop16.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsEarned