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Qual 152025 FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship
Red140
314260.3
245824.8
167659.6
Blue113
1014328.6
108951.3
31658.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13712180100160180200140113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
+11Teleop
+33Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave9
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
9Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +24
18Coral scored#17
65Coral points61
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#2
12Processor points12
28Net points8
40Algae points20
105Total teleop81
Reef
7L4#7
6L3#6
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#24
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points6
140Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3142
#24
60.31.2
50.8→52.1
Auto13.2
Teleop38.3
End8.7
red by 2.3
316
#20
58.00.3
42.6→42.3
Auto15.3
Teleop39.6
End3.0
Second
1676
#16
59.61.2
51.1→52.3
Auto14.6
Teleop37.0
End8.0
red by 8.3
1089
#58
51.30.3
48.5→48.2
Auto15.5
Teleop33.3
End2.5
Third
2458
#49
24.81.2
19.7→20.9
Auto4.9
Teleop16.3
End3.6
blue by 3.8
10143
#47
28.60.3
20.2→19.9
Auto5.9
Teleop20.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed