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Red124
180759.1
1015722.5
181145.2
Blue150
36569.4
255446.8
22250.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133160100150200250124150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+26
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +16
3Leave0
3Coral scored#7
14Coral points33
17Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +10
19Coral scored#19
67Coral points67
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#6
18Processor points12
8Net points24
26Algae points36
93Total teleop103
Reef
9L4#10
6L3#7
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
124Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1807
#39
59.10.5
57.056.4
Auto10.6
Teleop42.6
End5.9
blue by 10.3
365
#4
69.40.3
57.657.3
Auto13.7
Teleop47.2
End8.5
Second
1811
#32
45.20.5
44.644.1
Auto7.6
Teleop34.7
End3.0
blue by 5.3
222
#42
50.50.3
48.648.3
Auto6.3
Teleop36.9
End7.4
Third
22.50.5
19.418.8
Auto5.9
Teleop12.0
End4.6
blue by 24.4
2554
#17
46.80.3
37.337.0
Auto13.2
Teleop30.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed55%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned