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Red125
259055.5
19339.8
27249.1
Blue116
568434.2
272035.3
171245.7
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15911850100150200125116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+13Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave6
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points13
20Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +12
17Coral scored#14
61Coral points49
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
18Processor points18
16Net points16
34Algae points34
95Total teleop83
Reef
7L4#7
6L3#3
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +4
10Cage & park14
10Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
125Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#27
55.52.1
51.048.9
Auto11.6
Teleop35.5
End8.4
red by 9.8
1712
#31
45.70.7
38.037.3
Auto7.1
Teleop31.3
End7.4
Second
272
#14
49.12.1
45.443.3
Auto6.8
Teleop31.1
End11.2
red by 13.8
2720
#57
35.30.7
36.035.3
Auto7.1
Teleop21.8
End6.4
Third
193
#48
39.82.1
32.930.8
Auto7.9
Teleop27.0
End4.8
red by 5.6
5684
#35
34.20.7
23.222.5
Auto8.4
Teleop17.1
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned