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Red177
851364.6
363751.3
121865.9
Blue191
139162.3
589584.9
599241.4
36%Model gave it64%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160176100150200250177191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
10Coral scored#8
52Coral points42
58Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +21
19Coral scored#28
67Coral points102
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
105Total teleop126
Reef
10L4#17
8L3#8
5L2#7
6L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#41
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
177Total score191

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.91.2
54.255.4
Auto19.7
Teleop37.1
End9.1
blue by 19.0
84.91.2
73.875.0
Auto25.3
Teleop51.0
End8.6
Second
64.61.2
60.161.4
Auto20.5
Teleop35.6
End8.5
red by 2.2
1391
#19
62.31.2
56.757.9
Auto12.8
Teleop40.9
End8.7
Third
3637
#33
51.31.2
41.242.4
Auto11.0
Teleop32.0
End8.3
red by 9.8
5992
#40
41.41.2
39.841.0
Auto6.6
Teleop34.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed53%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsEarned