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Red138
10364.5
70854.9
164052.5
Blue163
32147.9
29343.3
116848.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176118100150200250138163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+19
Teleop+3
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +19
9Leave9
3Coral scored#7
16Coral points35
25Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +16
14Coral scored#16
49Coral points59
5Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
30Processor points12
20Net points12
50Algae points24
99Total teleop83
Reef
7L4#8
3L3#9
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +22
14Cage & park36
14Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
138Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#13
64.51.0
55.754.7
Auto8.7
Teleop50.4
End5.4
red by 15.6
1168
#50
48.92.9
43.246.1
Auto11.9
Teleop28.1
End8.9
Second
708
#23
54.91.0
52.751.7
Auto11.3
Teleop35.7
End7.8
red by 7.0
321
#38
47.92.9
39.642.6
Auto15.9
Teleop26.7
End5.3
Third
1640
#11
52.51.0
44.243.2
Auto11.8
Teleop33.8
End6.9
red by 9.2
293
#45
43.32.9
36.439.4
Auto13.0
Teleop21.0
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
46%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned