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Qual 202025 FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship
Red165
741447.4
272241.0
55552.4
Blue101
436126.2
901556.9
140349.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130129100110120140150160170165101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+64Teleop
+64Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
7Coral scored#2
34Coral points11
34Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +50
21Coral scored#13
77Coral points47
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
18Processor points6
20Net points12
38Algae points18
115Total teleop65
Reef
9L4#6
8L3#4
7L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
0Foul points0
165Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
#21
52.43.2
38.8→42.1
Auto13.2
Teleop31.5
End7.7
blue by 4.6
9015
#34
56.90.8
50.1→49.3
Auto12.7
Teleop39.2
End5.0
Second
7414
#28
47.43.2
40.1→43.3
Auto9.1
Teleop32.3
End6.0
blue by 1.9
1403
#29
49.30.8
41.7→41.0
Auto14.1
Teleop29.1
End6.0
Third
2722
#44
41.03.2
37.9→41.1
Auto12.2
Teleop29.2
End-0.4
red by 14.7
4361
#54
26.20.8
20.5→19.8
Auto7.1
Teleop11.0
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned