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Red152
245824.8
437346.9
540155.4
Blue164
167659.6
7550.1
434249.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10916250150200250152164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+2Teleop
Endgame+18
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave6
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points20
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +12
22Coral scored#22
78Coral points78
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
12Processor points12
24Net points12
36Algae points24
114Total teleop102
Reef
8L4#9
8L3#8
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
6Foul points0
152Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5401
#25
55.41.9
40.041.9
Auto7.7
Teleop41.7
End6.0
blue by 4.2
1676
#16
59.60.0
52.352.3
Auto14.6
Teleop37.0
End8.0
Second
4373
#18
46.91.9
39.140.9
Auto11.4
Teleop30.1
End5.5
blue by 3.2
75
#55
50.10.0
46.846.8
Auto13.7
Teleop30.7
End5.7
Third
2458
#49
24.81.9
20.922.7
Auto4.9
Teleop16.3
End3.6
blue by 24.7
4342
#36
49.50.0
43.743.7
Auto7.8
Teleop36.1
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsEarned