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Red158
180759.1
36569.4
31658.0
Blue204
192364.5
331480.3
83462.6
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160203150250300158204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+46
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +28
9Leave9
4Coral scored#10
21Coral points49
30Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +18
21Coral scored#20
76Coral points72
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#8
12Processor points18
16Net points32
28Algae points50
104Total teleop122
Reef
11L4#9
5L3#10
5L2#7
4L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#41
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points0
158Total score204

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#4
69.40.1
57.357.4
Auto13.7
Teleop47.2
End8.5
blue by 10.9
3314
#15
80.31.0
74.075.0
Auto19.8
Teleop47.9
End12.6
Second
1807
#39
59.10.1
56.456.6
Auto10.6
Teleop42.6
End5.9
blue by 5.3
64.51.0
56.657.6
Auto20.8
Teleop42.0
End1.6
Third
316
#20
58.00.1
42.342.5
Auto15.3
Teleop39.6
End3.0
blue by 4.6
834
#9
62.61.0
58.859.7
Auto14.6
Teleop38.6
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
69%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned