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Qual 262025 FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship
Red153
5638.1
1159.8
19339.8
Blue150
70854.9
32147.9
121865.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12616950100150200250153150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+1
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points27
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +1
20Coral scored#21
71Coral points76
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
103Total teleop104
Reef
11L4#9
6L3#8
6L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#32
BargeRed +4
20Cage & park16
20Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
153Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#26
59.81.5
50.5→52.1
Auto11.6
Teleop40.2
End8.0
blue by 6.1
1218
#6
65.90.7
55.4→54.7
Auto19.7
Teleop37.1
End9.1
Second
193
#48
39.81.5
30.8→32.3
Auto7.9
Teleop27.0
End4.8
blue by 15.1
708
#23
54.90.7
51.7→51.0
Auto11.3
Teleop35.7
End7.8
Third
56
#51
38.11.5
37.6→39.1
Auto6.6
Teleop30.1
End1.3
blue by 9.8
321
#38
47.90.7
42.6→41.8
Auto15.9
Teleop26.7
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned49%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned