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Red122
10239.6
599241.4
255446.8
Blue141
909459.8
140349.3
741447.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11214950100200250122141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
Teleop+7
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave9
9Coral scored#4
47Coral points20
47Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +25
13Coral scored#14
47Coral points50
2Processor algae#5
3Net algae#4
12Processor points30
12Net points16
24Algae points46
71Total teleop96
Reef
10L4#5
5L3#6
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
122Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2554
#17
46.80.9
37.037.9
Auto13.2
Teleop30.9
End2.8
blue by 13.0
9094
#30
59.80.3
51.651.9
Auto14.1
Teleop37.7
End8.0
Second
5992
#40
41.40.9
41.041.9
Auto6.6
Teleop34.2
End0.6
blue by 7.8
1403
#29
49.30.3
41.041.3
Auto14.1
Teleop29.1
End6.0
Third
102
#43
39.60.9
31.031.9
Auto9.8
Teleop27.3
End2.6
blue by 7.7
7414
#28
47.40.3
43.343.7
Auto9.1
Teleop32.3
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsEarned