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Red153
1014328.6
34180.3
1015722.5
Blue121
31658.0
245824.8
7550.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131126110120140150160170153121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+20Teleop
+26Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave6
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points24
29Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +21
15Coral scored#15
54Coral points53
5Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
30Processor points18
24Net points16
54Algae points34
108Total teleop87
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#7
6L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#27
BargeRed +6
10Cage & park4
10Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
6Foul points0
153Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#1
80.31.4
72.573.9
Auto13.6
Teleop56.9
End9.8
red by 22.3
316
#20
58.00.1
42.542.3
Auto15.3
Teleop39.6
End3.0
Second
28.61.4
23.324.8
Auto5.9
Teleop20.3
End2.5
blue by 21.4
75
#55
50.10.1
46.846.6
Auto13.7
Teleop30.7
End5.7
Third
22.51.4
18.319.7
Auto5.9
Teleop12.0
End4.6
blue by 2.3
2458
#49
24.80.1
22.722.6
Auto4.9
Teleop16.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsMissed