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Red173
704529.2
589584.9
465338.4
Blue135
540155.4
22250.5
434249.5
60%Model gave it40%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16014350100200250300173135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+36Teleop
+38Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave6
7Coral scored#2
35Coral points10
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +8
20Coral scored#19
71Coral points67
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
18Processor points18
24Net points20
42Algae points38
113Total teleop105
Reef
9L4#7
8L3#9
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points0
173Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.91.2
78.479.6
Auto25.3
Teleop51.0
End8.6
red by 29.5
5401
#25
55.40.6
41.941.2
Auto7.7
Teleop41.7
End6.0
Second
4653
#53
38.41.2
37.238.4
Auto11.6
Teleop18.6
End8.2
blue by 12.2
222
#42
50.50.6
47.747.1
Auto6.3
Teleop36.9
End7.4
Third
7045
#37
29.21.2
28.029.2
Auto6.5
Teleop18.3
End4.4
blue by 20.3
4342
#36
49.50.6
43.743.1
Auto7.8
Teleop36.1
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsEarned20%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned