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Red136
255446.8
29343.3
436126.2
Blue140
568434.2
108951.3
19339.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111118050150200250300350136140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+12
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
6Coral scored#6
28Coral points28
37Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +15
14Coral scored#16
51Coral points56
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
12Processor points18
12Net points16
24Algae points34
75Total teleop90
Reef
8L4#8
5L3#5
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#29
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
136Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2554
#17
46.82.6
37.940.4
Auto13.2
Teleop30.9
End2.8
blue by 4.5
1089
#58
51.32.4
49.051.4
Auto15.5
Teleop33.3
End2.5
Second
293
#45
43.32.6
38.240.8
Auto13.0
Teleop21.0
End9.3
red by 3.5
193
#48
39.82.4
32.334.8
Auto7.9
Teleop27.0
End4.8
Third
4361
#54
26.22.6
21.524.1
Auto7.1
Teleop11.0
End8.2
blue by 8.0
5684
#35
34.22.4
22.024.5
Auto8.4
Teleop17.1
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsEarned