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Red147
27249.1
164052.5
2537.9
Blue123
140349.3
180759.1
5638.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13714750100200250147123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+24Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points4
19Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +18
24Coral scored#19
86Coral points70
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
12Processor points6
16Net points20
28Algae points26
114Total teleop96
Reef
7L4#9
10L3#5
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
147Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1640
#11
52.51.3
45.947.2
Auto11.8
Teleop33.8
End6.9
blue by 6.7
1807
#39
59.11.3
56.655.3
Auto10.6
Teleop42.6
End5.9
Second
272
#14
49.11.3
42.744.0
Auto6.8
Teleop31.1
End11.2
blue by 0.2
1403
#29
49.31.3
41.340.0
Auto14.1
Teleop29.1
End6.0
Third
25
#41
37.91.3
33.234.4
Auto5.8
Teleop29.4
End2.6
blue by 0.2
56
#51
38.11.3
39.137.8
Auto6.6
Teleop30.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsEarned