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Red154
139162.3
55552.4
116848.9
Blue166
1159.8
10239.6
518156.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16013850100150200250154166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+12
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave6
7Coral scored#4
37Coral points20
37Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +23
19Coral scored#28
67Coral points102
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
18Processor points6
16Net points16
34Algae points22
101Total teleop124
Reef
11L4#8
8L3#15
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#37
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
154Total score166

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
#19
62.30.0
57.557.4
Auto12.8
Teleop40.9
End8.7
red by 2.5
11
#26
59.82.2
52.154.2
Auto11.6
Teleop40.2
End8.0
Second
555
#21
52.40.0
44.644.6
Auto13.2
Teleop31.5
End7.7
blue by 3.6
56.02.2
43.745.9
Auto9.0
Teleop42.4
End4.6
Third
1168
#50
48.90.0
47.247.2
Auto11.9
Teleop28.1
End8.9
red by 9.3
102
#43
39.62.2
31.934.1
Auto9.8
Teleop27.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned35%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned